For years, Ukraine stood at the center of the sunflower oil world — the undisputed leader, with a global export share peaking at nearly 55% in 2015/16. But the global trade landscape is changing.

From the East, russia has steadily gained ground. Once a secondary player with just 19% of the market, it is now expected to reach 32% of global sunflower oil exports in 2024/25. Meanwhile, Ukraine’s dominance is slipping, with its share projected to fall to 40%, its lowest level in a decade.

What’s driving the shift? 

War, disrupted logistics, and growing political pressure have redrawn trade routes and influenced buying strategies across global markets. As a result, importers now face a strategic decision:

- Stick with Ukraine — the long-trusted leader in quality and consistency,

- Or pivot to russia — the cheaper and increasingly dominant alternative.

Welcome to “The Sunflower Oil Dilemma”

At Globoil International 2025, Christina Serebriakova, CEO of ASAP Agri & Broker at Atria Brokers, will unpack the story behind the stats — and what it means for the future of global vegoil trade.